Finance Friday – September 2, 2016

IMG_0022

$29.10

That’s the price of solar power that won the electricity auction in Chile recently – $29/megawatt hour.  Total pricing in the auction, which provides about a third of the country’s capacity, was down 40% from a similar process last year, with renewables winning more than half of the contracts.

For reference, here are the other bids in aggregate:

  •  Wind $38/MWh
  •  Gas $47/MWh
  •  Coal $57/MWh

Unless you are a utility analyst, that’s all a little abstract, so here is a translation to some more familiar reference points:

A typical US household uses 11 MWh/year, (the average globally is 3-4 MWh/household/year).  The solar price in this auction is just under 3c/kwh, versus US wholesale generation costs for gas and coal that are around 4c/kwh.  So, it’s about 30% cheaper for this solar bid in Chile than for coal or gas generation in the US.  The typical US household would save about $400/year with this price differential, assuming constant markups between wholesale generation costs and retail residential prices.

That’s apples and oranges, of course – different climates, different market mechanisms, different regulatory systems, plus it’s just a bid, not yet delivered.  But this bid was even lower than the $29.90 solar deal in Dubai earlier this year.  So, if you are still thinking of solar as the nice, expensive, fringe-y alternative energy source, it’s really time to re-think.

A helpful, more complete article on the auction can be found on Bloomberg, and lots of terrific electricity data can be found at the US Energy Information Administration site.  Oh, what I would have given for this awesome geeky data-packed site back when I was an electrical equipment analyst!

Photo: though it looks like the sun, this mosaic mural is said to depict all of the sacred sites of the Incas, with Machu Picchu at the center. Isn’t it fantastic?!

Mail Click
Join Our Mailing List

Subscribe to our mailing list

We invite you to become part of the Honeybee Capital hive. Sign up here to receive ongoing updates about our work.